Deep Dive With Ibrahim – 23-Oct
Happy Wednesday!
Todayâs newsletter will be a quick deep dive on how to effectively bring new top-of-funnel awareness to your brand.
Okay, in one of the previous deep dives, recently, I wrote an entire newsletter on product launches. I love product launches because the excitement they drum up immediately drives revenue, engagement with your customers, and the opportunity to share the brand story and invite new top-of-funnel (TOF) awareness/traffic. Itâs basically an excuse to get loud and proud and find new customers.
A number of you recognized that I love loud product launches for TOF purposes, but then I got the question⊠well, what if we need to drive more upper-funnel marketing? How do we launch new channels, and how can we measure them?
For today’s email, Iâm going to break down my testing framework, a few upper funnel channels I recommend testing, and how to measure and define success (Iâm still a performance marketer at heart). Okay, letâs get into itâŠ
The Testing Process
When I think about launching a new channel, I have to first understand why I believe this channel is worth it for our business. Is this something Iâm going to make a real effort to try out, invest dollars into contextually-native creative (aka the creative feels like it belongs in the medium), and continue to test until I crack the code? Or am I just inclined to set this up because the founder or CEO of my company went to a conference and met a founder friend who asked why weâre not on TV, and thatâs why weâre going to test the channel now? If itâs the latter, thatâs your sign to not.
I remember being at a brand, and when our founder would come back from a conference, a retreat, or some event, weâd get the question, âHey, how come weâre not on {insert channel here} yet? {Other brand in a different stage of biz} said itâs working well for them.â Absolutely hated that, and it would always be a terrible reason to test into a new channel. You need to make sure the channel youâre testing into has an audience for you, has the scale youâre looking for, and that YOU have the resources to properly test it, bothâwith media costs and creative costs.
If itâs a digital channel (YouTube, programmatic ads, Taboola, etc.), then I aim for a test budget of $10-15k. With digital, and especially performance-based channels, you can always cut the test if itâs not looking good after $15k.
You might be looking at higher minimums if itâs a direct buy with a media company. For publishers, minimums usually start around $25k to $50k. It depends on the size of podcasts, but a good podcast test budget is probably also around $50kâyou want to be able to test multiple shows with different messaging.
Lastly, I will say that I am a fan of using agencies to test a new channel. If you buy all your media in-house versus a really good agency (we have an amazing in-house performance marketer, Sai, click here to book a call with him) then I recommend still testing new channels with agencies and then bringing them in-house once they find scale. Agencies can be faster with the 0-1 of a new channel, have more creative capabilities, and can crack the code before you scale it.
Once Iâve identified the channel I want to test with, I look at what funnels, offers, and messaging are doing well for me on other channels and figure out how to amend them for the channel Iâm going to test. If you have funnels and offers that work well on other channels, you can likely leverage them on new channels, and they act as a control.
For digital ad platforms, you can check their Ads Libraries to see what your competition is doing and how top advertisers on the channel approach their creative or funnels. For TV, you can use iSpot TV to look up TV commercials and judge their performance based on how long theyâve been airing. You can use AdBeat to spy on native and programmatic ads.
After understanding what your creative will look like, along with your budget, itâs time to produce your ads. This is where an agency is valuable, having the channelsâ experience as well as a creative team. We have people exclusively editing video, making animations, static ads, etc. â you just canât match the output, and if you did, it wouldnât be efficient.
You want to launch with various creative tests to understand what drives the best performance and balance that with your budget to ensure you reach statistical significance. Measure your results with an incrementality testing platform, then decide how to proceed.
The beauty of digital ad channels is that almost everything can be tested fairly quickly. Within 2-4 weeks, you will understand how well a new digital channel may perform for you. If youâre running channels like direct mail, out-of-home ads, or TV, you will have to use a longer window to judge performance.
A few channels that I believe are great to test as you scale into 7-figures per month on Meta:
- YouTube (organic)
- Podcasts
- YouTube (paid)
- TV ads
- Taboola
With YouTube Influencers and Podcast Ads
YouTube influencers and podcasters have the strongest audience pull Iâve ever seen. When they recommend something, or even better, itâs their own brand; people flock to it. Itâs no surprise Prime and Feastables are the two of the largest new consumer brands.
With YouTube influencers/podcasts, the best way to approach a test is as follows:
- Build out a proven funnel or landing page experience
- Make sure you are doing the best job collecting first-party data from high-intent traffic
- Write out a brief explaining the best angles, hooks, or ways to talk about the product and what the âPromiseâ is
- Get a pool of 10-15 influencers/podcasts who are the right fit as a brand ambassador but also with their audience
- Ensure the product can be shown in action within their video
- Create a spreadsheet tracking the following columns:
- YouTuber/Podcast
- URL to video with the ad
- Views
- Cost for placement
- Link clicks
- Conversion rate
- Purchases
- CPO (Cost/Purchases)
- CPM (Cost per 1,000 views)
- Coupon code redemptions
- CPR (Cost per redemption)
A viable YouTube or Podcast test should be around $30-50k. This will help you test a number of creators to understand what can work best for you. The beauty of YouTube organic is that the URL stays in the video forever. If the video continues to get views, which they do, then youâll be generating purchases forever.
The only downside of organic YouTube and Podcasts is you canât isolate geographies, so you canât leverage something like Haus. Instead, you have to measure success with code redemptions or by looking at the last-click purchase data.
With YouTube ads, TV, and Native Ads
For these channels, the setup should be very similar to the above, except most of the reporting happens within the respective media platforms (e.g., YouTube, Tatari, Taboola, etc.). You can run isolated hold-out tests to understand a channel’s incremental impact over the baseline of what wouldâve already happened.
I still recommend making creatives that are custom to each platform, creating unique coupon codes and URLs for each variation of TV creative (so you can truly isolate your performance), and starting with angles that you know work well. For example, if you know that the founder’s story does well to bring new customers in, then figure out how to leverage that in a new channel.
Until today, I see MVMT Watches still running their founder story ad. Everything from the angle of the creative and positioning of the brand to the landing page should really stay the same. Itâs like the control of your experiment.
The only variables that change are the creative and the medium in which the creative is served. The medium will just be 1, whether thatâs TV or Taboola, but the creative is where you can get fancy. If you get bored, I recommend looking up the TV commercials of MyPillow. Just watching 8-10 of them, youâll start to notice how he alters different variants of it to test product assortments, discounts, etc.
Now is a great time to invest in a Taboola test. See if you can find publishers (from VOGUE to Yahoo) that have a great audience/creative fit with your brand and scale a couple of campaigns before the madness of Q4 begins.
With channels like YouTube and TV, you also need to account for the traffic that comes to your site without clicking or coming through a special link. That means when new site visitors land after seeing your ad on the TV in the gym, you need to make it easy for them to get to the offer they just watched.
Measurement, Attribution, and Incremental Channel Lift
There are different ways you can look at measurement. The three main ways are:
- Click-based or MTA â Multi-Touch Attribution, which is attribution based on clicks or the user journey (as best as the platforms can track it).
- MMM â Media-Mix Modeling, which uses regression models that spit out an outcome based on historically modeled data.
- Incrementality Testing â Understanding the incremental lift of a channel, past the baseline it wouldâve drove regardless.
When it comes to launching new channels, I believe the most important thing you have to do is track and measure the incremental lift from a new channel. Every platform is going to over (or under) report their numbers. 65% of the time you look at an in-platform number, itâs an overreported figure, hence why Iâm a fan of understanding incremental lift.
As you begin to spend, you want to understand the incremental lift vs the status quo of what you are doing today and how your new ad channels compare to your existing ads that are running right now.
The way to do this is to run a test with a holdout /control and I prefer to use Haus for any experimentation or incrementality testing. You can input any channel as the channel you want to run an experiment with (whether thatâs YouTube or Taboola), setup the 2 or 3 cell experiment with Haus, connect any offline data (such as sales reports you get from retail or Amazon), and Haus will run the experiment, measure the lift and assign an âIncrementality Factorâ to each channel. The incrementality factor is a multiplier you use to adjust your platform reported conversion numbers for incrementality.
For example, if YouTube has an Incrementality Factor of 1.5x (because the platform doesnât count for its view-through conversions), then the platformâs reported CPA of $150 is really $100, taking into account the incrementality the platform drives.
6 years ago when I was running Meta ads and we added TV, podcast, YouTube, programmatic banners, Taboola and more, the way we tested into everything was by running proper incrementality hold-out tests. I firmly believe itâs still the best way to validate new channels.
Alright folks, thatâs it for today!
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